Nj\u00eb nga periudhat m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira, ndoshta m\u00eb e v\u00ebshtira, n\u00eb totalin e 22 viteve (14 radhazi) q\u00eb ka qen\u00eb n\u00eb krye t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb, po p\u00ebrjeton Vladimir Putin.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb nga periudhat m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira, ndoshta m\u00eb e v\u00ebshtira, n\u00eb totalin e 22 viteve (14 radhazi) q\u00eb ka qen\u00eb n\u00eb krye t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb, po p\u00ebrjeton Vladimir Putin. Presioni mbi Kremlinin \u00ebsht\u00eb shtuar ndjesh\u00ebm muajt e fundit, nd\u00ebrsa Ukraina, pas m\u00ebsimeve t\u00eb marra q\u00eb nga fillimi i pushtimit rus n\u00eb shkurt 2022 deri n\u00eb fund t\u00eb vitit 2025, ka kaluar n\u00eb kund\u00ebrsulm.<\/p>\n
Sulmet ukrainase tashm\u00eb kan\u00eb prekur Mosk\u00ebn dhe zonat p\u00ebrreth saj, pran\u00eb Kremlinit, Sh\u00ebn Petersburgun dhe Krimen\u00eb. Infrastruktura kritike e energjis\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb kthyer n\u00eb objektiv t\u00eb vazhduesh\u00ebm, prodhimi i rezervave t\u00eb energjis\u00eb po ndalet dhe qytetar\u00ebt po krijojn\u00eb radh\u00eb n\u00eb pikat e karburantit p\u00ebr t\u2019u furnizuar.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, Vladimir Putin ka pranuar publikisht v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsit\u00eb q\u00eb po kalon vendi, ka folur p\u00ebr presionin n\u00eb sektorin energjetik dhe ka d\u00ebrguar sinjale drejt Uashingtonit, i cili \u00ebsht\u00eb i p\u00ebrqendruar te zhvillimet n\u00eb Iran, duke k\u00ebrkuar rikthimin n\u00eb tryez\u00ebn e negociatave.<\/p>\n
Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, sipas raportimeve, po shtohen z\u00ebrat q\u00eb v\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb pik\u00ebpyetje stabilitetin politik t\u00eb presidentit 74-vje\u00e7ar rus, aq sa e ardhmja e tij ka nisur t\u00eb b\u00ebhet objekt edhe i tregjeve t\u00eb basteve.<\/p>\n
Basti prej 400 mij\u00eb dollar\u00ebsh p\u00ebr largimin e Putinit<\/strong><\/p>\n N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb klim\u00eb, nj\u00eb p\u00ebrdorues anonim n\u00eb platform\u00ebn e basteve me kriptomonedha Polymarket ka vendosur rreth 409 mij\u00eb dollar\u00eb duke parashikuar se Vladimir Putin nuk do t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb president i Rusis\u00eb deri m\u00eb 31 dhjetor 2026.<\/p>\n Sipas NBC News, basti \u00ebsht\u00eb vendosur nga nj\u00eb llogari me emrin \u201cZnotluvuiSamez\u201d, e cila ka si fotografi profili flamurin ukrainas. P\u00ebrdoruesi ka vendosur disa baste q\u00eb lidhen me luft\u00ebn n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, por ky \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb i madhi deri tani. Basti i fundit prej 50 mij\u00eb dollar\u00ebsh \u00ebsht\u00eb vendosur t\u00eb enjten n\u00eb m\u00ebngjes.<\/p>\n Megjithat\u00eb, tregu nuk ndan t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtin optimiz\u00ebm. Sipas vler\u00ebsimeve t\u00eb lojtar\u00ebve n\u00eb Polymarket, ka vet\u00ebm 12% gjasa q\u00eb Putini t\u00eb largohet nga presidenca para vitit 2030.<\/p>\n N\u00ebse parashikimi rezulton i sakt\u00eb, lojtari anonim mund t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb deri n\u00eb 2.5 milion\u00eb dollar\u00eb.<\/p>\n Basti i dyt\u00eb m\u00eb i madh i t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtit p\u00ebrdorues \u00ebsht\u00eb 61 mij\u00eb dollar\u00eb mbi parashikimin se Ukraina do ta rimarr\u00eb Krimen\u00eb deri n\u00eb fund t\u00eb vitit, nj\u00eb skenar q\u00eb tregu gjithashtu e vler\u00ebson me vet\u00ebm 12% probabilitet.<\/p>\n Llogaria \u00ebsht\u00eb hapur n\u00eb prill t\u00eb k\u00ebtij viti dhe \u00ebsht\u00eb e lidhur me nj\u00eb profil n\u00eb X, i cili nuk ka asnj\u00eb postim.<\/p>\n Forbes: Putini po p\u00ebrballet me probleme ekzistenciale<\/strong><\/p>\n Sipas analiz\u00ebs s\u00eb publikuar nga Forbes, presidenti rus po p\u00ebrballet me probleme ekzistenciale n\u00eb disa fronte.<\/p>\n Situata n\u00eb luft\u00eb po b\u00ebhet gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00eb p\u00ebr Kremlinin, duke d\u00ebmtuar legjitimitetin e Putinit, nd\u00ebrsa pak\u00ebnaq\u00ebsia e brendshme po rritet. Nj\u00eb video virale e blogerit ushtarak rus Alexander Lunin, i cili paralajm\u00ebroi p\u00ebr nj\u00eb kryengritje, \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrmendur si nj\u00eb nga shenjat e k\u00ebsaj pak\u00ebnaq\u00ebsie.<\/p>\n Forbes v\u00ebren se zem\u00ebrimi publik po shtohet p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb mobilizimit t\u00eb detyruar dhe mungesave, nd\u00ebrsa analogjit\u00eb historike me r\u00ebniet e m\u00ebparshme t\u00eb regjimeve ruse pas luft\u00ebrave t\u00eb d\u00ebshtuara po rikthehen n\u00eb v\u00ebmendje.<\/p>\n Sipas analiz\u00ebs, elitat politike dhe t\u00eb siguris\u00eb, t\u00eb shqet\u00ebsuara p\u00ebr mbijetes\u00ebn e tyre, mund t\u00eb kthehen kund\u00ebr Putinit, duke krijuar edhe mund\u00ebsin\u00eb e konflikteve t\u00eb brendshme.<\/p>\n Revista amerikane p\u00ebrmend disa skenar\u00eb t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr fundin politik t\u00eb Putinit, q\u00eb variojn\u00eb nga nj\u00eb atentat deri te nj\u00eb gjyq spektak\u00ebl, nd\u00ebrsa si faktor\u00eb q\u00eb mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrshpejtojn\u00eb zhvillimet p\u00ebrmenden sulmet e reja ukrainase, trazirat e brendshme dhe ndryshimi i q\u00ebndrimit t\u00eb Kin\u00ebs.<\/p>\n Krimea dhe Ura e Ker\u00e7it n\u00ebn presion<\/strong><\/p>\n Forbes thekson gjithashtu se Krimea po p\u00ebrballet me v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsi serioze n\u00eb furnizimin me karburant p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb sulmeve t\u00eb vazhdueshme me dron\u00eb ukrainas.<\/p>\n Pamjet e radh\u00ebve t\u00eb gjata t\u00eb automjeteve q\u00eb largohen nga gadishulli n\u00eb kulmin e sezonit turistik krijojn\u00eb nj\u00eb imazh negativ p\u00ebr Mosk\u00ebn.<\/p>\n Aktualisht, nj\u00eb nga korridoret m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme t\u00eb furnizimit mbetet Ura e Ker\u00e7it, e cila \u00ebsht\u00eb sulmuar disa her\u00eb, por vazhdon t\u00eb jet\u00eb funksionale. Kamion\u00ebt q\u00eb transportojn\u00eb karburant p\u00ebrmes saj konsiderohen objektiva t\u00eb ndjesh\u00ebm, nd\u00ebrsa burime t\u00eb inteligjenc\u00ebs ukrainase pretendojn\u00eb se ura mbetet n\u00eb fokus t\u00eb planeve ushtarake t\u00eb Kievit.<\/p>\n Sipas analiz\u00ebs, lufta q\u00eb Rusia nisi kat\u00ebr vite e gjysm\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb mund t\u00eb shnd\u00ebrrohet n\u00eb nj\u00eb katastrof\u00eb strategjike p\u00ebr Kremlinin, nd\u00ebrsa Putini po e ka gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb kontrolloj\u00eb perceptimin publik.<\/p>\n Videot e Alexander Lunin dhe krahasimet me Prigozhinin<\/strong><\/p>\n Pak dit\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb, blogeri ushtarak rus Alexander Lunin, veteran i luft\u00ebs n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, publikoi nj\u00eb video ku paralajm\u00ebronte p\u00ebr nj\u00eb kryengritje dhe k\u00ebrkonte nj\u00eb takim televiziv me Putinin.<\/p>\n Ai pretendoi se zot\u00ebronte sekrete t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme t\u00eb zyrtar\u00ebve t\u00eb lart\u00eb dhe se d\u00ebshironte t\u2019ia paraqiste presidentit rus. Videoja mblodhi afro 11 milion\u00eb shikime.<\/p>\n M\u00eb pas publikoi nj\u00eb video tjet\u00ebr me ton m\u00eb t\u00eb moderuar, por m\u00eb von\u00eb u shfaq\u00ebn pamje t\u00eb nj\u00eb grupi ushtar\u00ebsh q\u00eb e mb\u00ebshtesnin dhe k\u00ebrc\u00ebnonin se do t\u2019i drejtonin arm\u00ebt kund\u00ebr oficer\u00ebve, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt i akuzonin p\u00ebr keqtrajtim.<\/p>\n Lunin u arrestua dhe ndodhet n\u00eb burg, nd\u00ebrsa rasti i tij ka rikthyer kujtimet e kryengritjes s\u00eb udh\u00ebhequr nga Yevgeny Prigozhin.<\/p>\n N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb qarkullojn\u00eb video t\u00eb sulmeve ukrainase ndaj bazave ushtarake, objekteve energjetike dhe depozitave t\u00eb karburantit pran\u00eb Mosk\u00ebs, si edhe pamje t\u00eb qytetar\u00ebve rus\u00eb q\u00eb protestojn\u00eb p\u00ebr munges\u00ebn e karburantit dhe pretendime p\u00ebr mobilizime t\u00eb detyruara.<\/p>\n Forbes kujton se n\u00eb historin\u00eb moderne ruse, ndryshimet e regjimit kan\u00eb ardhur pas luft\u00ebrave t\u00eb m\u00ebdha, si Lufta e Par\u00eb Bot\u00ebrore dhe lufta n\u00eb Afganistan.<\/p>\n \u201cSkenari i \u00c7ausheskut\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n Analiza p\u00ebrmend edhe t\u00eb ashtuquajturin \u201cskenar i \u00c7ausheskut\u201d, sipas t\u00eb cilit Putini mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me nj\u00eb gjyq spektak\u00ebl dhe m\u00eb pas t\u00eb eliminohet politikisht ose fizikisht, nd\u00ebrsa pjesa m\u00eb e madhe e elit\u00ebs do t\u00eb mbetej n\u00eb pushtet.<\/p>\n Ky skenar \u00ebsht\u00eb rikthyer n\u00eb diskutim edhe pas vdekjes misterioze t\u00eb Sergei Ivanov m\u00eb 26 qershor, n\u00eb mosh\u00ebn 73-vje\u00e7are. Ivanov konsiderohej nj\u00eb nga bashk\u00ebpun\u00ebtor\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb af\u00ebrt t\u00eb Putinit q\u00eb prej viteve 1970 dhe ishte par\u00eb shpesh si nj\u00eb pasardh\u00ebs i mundsh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n Kremlini njoftoi vdekjen e tij pa b\u00ebr\u00eb publik shkakun, nd\u00ebrsa Ivanov kishte ruajtur lidhje t\u00eb forta me FSB-n\u00eb edhe pasi ishte larguar nga postet zyrtare.<\/p>\n Sipas Forbes, ngjarje t\u00eb tilla shtojn\u00eb pasigurin\u00eb mes elitave, pasi rival\u00ebt e mundsh\u00ebm mund ta shohin veten n\u00eb rrezik dhe t\u00eb nd\u00ebrmarrin veprime parandaluese.<\/p>\n Analiza p\u00ebrmend si faktor\u00eb q\u00eb mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrshpejtojn\u00eb zhvillimet sulme t\u00eb reja ukrainase ndaj Mosk\u00ebs, mungesa ushqimore, kryengritje separatiste n\u00eb rajone si Tatarstani, Bashkortostani ose \u00c7e\u00e7enia, si dhe nj\u00eb operacion t\u00eb madh ukrainas n\u00eb Krime.<\/p>\n Faktori Kin\u00eb<\/strong><\/p>\n Nj\u00eb element ky\u00e7 n\u00eb analiz\u00ebn e Forbes \u00ebsht\u00eb edhe q\u00ebndrimi i Kin\u00ebs.<\/p>\n Sipas revist\u00ebs, n\u00ebse Pekini arrin n\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimin se nj\u00eb Putin i dob\u00ebsuar nuk i sh\u00ebrben m\u00eb interesave t\u00eb tij strategjike, mund t\u00eb reduktoj\u00eb m\u00eb tej mb\u00ebshtetjen ekonomike dhe politike p\u00ebr Mosk\u00ebn.<\/p>\n Kina tashm\u00eb ka ulur ndjesh\u00ebm mb\u00ebshtetjen p\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb ruse dhe ka refuzuar financimin e projektit t\u00eb gazsjell\u00ebsit \u201cSiberia 2\u201d, q\u00eb do ta lidhte drejtp\u00ebrdrejt me Rusin\u00eb.<\/p>\n N\u00eb p\u00ebrfundim, Forbes argumenton se, n\u00ebse situata aktuale vazhdon ose p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsohet, Vladimir Putin mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me rr\u00ebzimin e tij politik brenda tre viteve t\u00eb ardhshme.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Nj\u00eb nga periudhat m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira, ndoshta m\u00eb e v\u00ebshtira, n\u00eb totalin e 22 viteve (14 radhazi) q\u00eb ka qen\u00eb n\u00eb krye t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb, po p\u00ebrjeton Vladimir Putin. Nj\u00eb nga periudhat m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira, ndoshta m\u00eb e v\u00ebshtira, n\u00eb totalin e 22 viteve (14 radhazi) q\u00eb ka qen\u00eb n\u00eb krye t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb, po p\u00ebrjeton Vladimir…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3949,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3948","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bota"],"yoast_head":"\n